2015-16 Rainbow Chart Masterpost (M-W)

Ok guys, get ready for an absolute crap-ton of charts coming your way. This isn’t an explainer, merely just a data dump.

The best way to find your team is to hit Ctrl+F and use the team name. Otherwise, everyone’s in alphabetical order.

Feel free to save and use. Consider this blanket permission to use in blogs or other posts as long as it links back to here or my twitter, @Classlicity.

Click this link for Part 1: A-L 

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2015-16 Rainbow Chart Masterpost (A-L)

Ok guys, get ready for an absolute crap-ton of charts coming your way. This isn’t an explainer, merely just a data dump.

The best way to find your team is to hit Ctrl+F and use the team name. Otherwise, everyone’s in alphabetical order.

Feel free to save and use. Consider this blanket permission to use in blogs or other posts as long as it links back to here or my twitter, @Classlicity.

Click here to go to Part 2: M-W

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Eat Like a Star…On a Budget

On Friday, Jonathan Toews did his best convince the world he’s not a robot, and of course, failed dramatically.

A lot of people ignore the fact that what they eat can have an impact on their bodies. Eating the right food not only helps you get lean, but it changes how you think, act, feel and perform in all aspects of your life. This morning is a great example of the balance of whole foods I try to find with most meals. Today I have a small salad with mixed greens, a couple eggs, sauerkraut, nuts, seeds and goji berries. Alongside, a small bowl of gluten free chia coconut oatmeal with wild berries, a scoop of Walnut Almond Cashew butter from @Onnit and a nice big cup of @Onnit coffee with their MCT oil. Now I'm ready to overcome whatever obstacle the day decides to throw my way. #whatmakesyoubetter #totalhumanoptimization

A post shared by Jonathan Toews (@jonathantoews) on

He also revealed that he, like most athletes, have zero concept of how real people stay healthy. After all, most of us don’t make $10.5 million a year, and budgeting is a concern of ours.

While it’s obvious that this was a sponsored post, one enterprising hockey fan added up how much it would cost to make Toews’ ideal breakfast.

That said, eating healthy is important. Food fuels us, and while I always scoff at fads like “paleo” or diets like “Atkins” there are some pretty easy ways to up your nutrition, cut empty calories, and not have to pay $17 for fancy nut butter.

Of course, diets and budgets are extremely personal, so make sure you’re following a plan that is best for your situation.

Still, here are a few tips and strategies that have helped me eat healthier without breaking the bank. Most of these are extremely common sense, so you may have heard them before, but I hope this is helpful to a few people.

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Under Pressure (What Is Clutch Part 3)

It’s finally the one you were all waiting for, the last (for now) in my Clutch rankings – the Playoffs.

Methodology wise, these are done the exact same way as the regular season, with weighted metrics measuring individual effort, team effect, and efficacy in Tied & Trailing states vs the Leading by 1 state. If you missed it, Part 1 is where I outline the definition of Clutch and what I’m attempting to achieve, but the final methodology used is explained in Part 2.

There is one major difference between the Regular Season ranks and the Playoff ranks, and that is the sample of skaters. Because of the comparative infrequency of the 5v5 playoff minutes, these are a cumulative total of the last five seasons (2011-2015), with a minimum requirement of 50 5v5 minutes to get on the list. This gives us a list of 431 forwards, and 236 defenders.

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Let’s Talk About Clutch, Baby (Let’s Talk About All the Losing and the Winning)

As a follow up to Version 1, I wanted to go through and refine how I was ranking “clutch” because, as was rightly pointed out, comparing players to just themselves often overvalued 3rd & 4th liners, and undervalued guys who were good in all situations. Compare the following:

Player Phryne*:
Lead by 1: 2.0 P60
Tied: 2.0 P60
Trail by 1: 2.2 P60
Trail by 2: 2.3 P60

Player Jack:
Lead by 1: 1.1 P60
Tied: 1.5 P60
Trail by 1: 1.4 P60
Trail by 2: 1.6 P60

NHL Avg:
Lead by 1: 1.5 P60

In all scenarios, Phryne is the better player, however, Phryne’s rank would be much worse, because the change between her Lead by 1 P60 and other game states is smaller. However, if I ranked them based on change from NHL Average, Jack would be unfairly disadvantaged as “clutch” because while he has a large personal delta, he mostly is right at NHL average in P60.

What I ended up with was a Lead 1 average weighted by on Time on Ice. As mentioned in the first article, coaches don’t typically change their usage of players within the varying game states, so a fourth liner will always have less TOI than a star.

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What is Clutch (Baby Don’t Lose This, Don’t Lose This No More)

I was looking for another project to do this weekend – something time and attention consuming but not actually too hard because I was fairly distracted. Someone suggested looking at what makes a player “clutch” and I thought “hmm, that’s interesting.” So here we are.

What does make a player clutch? If I was going to use fancy stats to rank players, I needed to figure out how to define the term first, as it would set the guidelines for the investigation. From dictionary.com, they define it as:

Clutch, adj.

done or accomplished in a critical situation

example: a clutch shot that won the basketball game.

In hockey, we have already proven that teams play very differently depending on the various “game states” (eg, tied, winning by 1, losing by 1, etc). Micah McCurdy has an excellent presentation illustrating this exact phenomenon, and the term “score effects” is used frequently amongst analytics types. In fact, most data you’ll see presented (here or elsewhere) is usually what we call “score adjusted”, meaning it has modifiers to counteract these score effects.

But if we’re trying to determine who is the most “clutch”, that is, who is the most effective in critical situations when the game needs to be tied or won, then these score effects are exactly what we want to examine.

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